Exit polls show shifts across the board for Democrats in the House

Party lead in % points, 2024 presidential election v 2026 House election exit poll

2024

2026

Winning

margin

Dem

+75pts

Dem

+50pts

Dem

+25pts

Rep

+25pts

Gender

Men

Women

Age

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Race

White

Black

Hispanic

Education

College degree

No degree

Type of area

Urban

Suburban

Rural

Household

income

>$50,000

$50,000+

2024

2026

Winning

margin

Dem

+75pts

Dem

+50pts

Dem

+25pts

Rep

+25pts

Gender

Men

Women

Age

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Race

White

Black

Hispanic

Education

College degree

No degree

Type of area

Urban

Suburban

Rural

Household income

Under $50,000

$50,000 or more

2024

2026

Winning

margin

Dem

+75pts

Dem

+50pts

Dem

+25pts

Rep

+25pts

Gender

Men

Women

Age

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Race

White

Black

Hispanic

Education

College degree

No degree

Type of area

Urban

Suburban

Rural

Household income

Under $50,000

$50,000 or more

2024

2026

Winning

margin

Dem

+75pts

Dem

+50pts

Dem

+25pts

Rep

+25pts

Gender

Men

Women

Age

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Race

White

Black

Hispanic

Education

College degree

No degree

Type of area

Urban

Suburban

Rural

Household income

Under $50,000

$50,000 or more

2024

2026

Dem

+75pts

Dem

+50pts

Dem

+25pts

Rep

+25pts

Winning

margin

Gender

Men

Women

Age

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Race

White

Black

Hispanic

Education

College degree

No degree

Type of area

Urban

Suburban

Rural

Household

income

>$50,000

$50,000+

2024

2026

Dem

+75pts

Dem

+50pts

Dem

+25pts

Rep

+25pts

Winning

margin

Gender

Men

Women

Age

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Race

White

Black

Hispanic

Education

College degree

No degree

Type of area

Urban

Suburban

Rural

Household income

Under $50,000

$50,000 or more

2024

2026

Winning

margin

Dem

+75pts

Dem

+50pts

Dem

+25pts

Rep

+25pts

Gender

Men

Women

Age

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Race

White

Black

Hispanic

Education

College degree

No degree

Type of area

Urban

Suburban

Rural

Household income

Under $50,000

$50,000 or more

2024

2026

Winning

margin

Dem

+75pts

Dem

+50pts

Dem

+25pts

Rep

+25pts

Gender

Men

Women

Age

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Race

White

Black

Hispanic

Education

College degree

No degree

Type of area

Urban

Suburban

Rural

Household income

Under $50,000

$50,000 or more

Guardian graphic. Source: Associated Press Voter Trend exit poll, based on 80,000 interviews at polling stations during the 2026 House election