Younger counties shifted towards the Democrats
Shift in margin in counties where more than a quarter of the population is aged under 30, 2024 presidential election v 2026 Senate election, percentage points
2024
2026
Shift in
margin
Dem
+30pts
Dem
+20pts
Dem
+10pts
Rep
+10pts
Kentucky
Texas
Mississippi
West Virginia
North Carolina
Wyoming
Ohio
Kansas
Georgia
Iowa
Virginia
Alabama
Arkansas
Louisiana
Oklahoma
Florida
Michigan
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Illinois
Oregon
2024
2026
Shift in
margin
Dem
+30pts
Dem
+20pts
Dem
+10pts
Rep
+10pts
Kentucky
Texas
Mississippi
West Virginia
North Carolina
Wyoming
Ohio
Kansas
Georgia
Iowa
Virginia
Alabama
Arkansas
Louisiana
Oklahoma
Florida
Michigan
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Illinois
Oregon
2024
2026
Shift in
margin
Dem
+30pts
Dem
+20pts
Dem
+10pts
Rep
+10pts
Kentucky
Texas
Mississippi
West Virginia
North Carolina
Wyoming
Ohio
Kansas
Georgia
Iowa
Virginia
Alabama
Arkansas
Louisiana
Oklahoma
Florida
Michigan
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Illinois
Oregon
2024
2026
Shift in
margin
Dem
+30pts
Dem
+20pts
Dem
+10pts
Rep
+10pts
Kentucky
Texas
Mississippi
West Virginia
North Carolina
Wyoming
Ohio
Kansas
Georgia
Iowa
Virginia
Alabama
Arkansas
Louisiana
Oklahoma
Florida
Michigan
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Illinois
Oregon
2024
2026
Shift in
margin
Dem
+30pts
Dem
+20pts
Dem
+10pts
Rep
+10pts
Kentucky
Texas
Mississippi
West Virginia
North Carolina
Wyoming
Ohio
Kansas
Georgia
Iowa
Virginia
Alabama
Arkansas
Louisiana
Oklahoma
Florida
Michigan
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Illinois
Oregon
2024
2026
Shift in
margin
Dem
+30pts
Dem
+20pts
Dem
+10pts
Rep
+10pts
Kentucky
Texas
Mississippi
West Virginia
North Carolina
Wyoming
Ohio
Kansas
Georgia
Iowa
Virginia
Alabama
Arkansas
Louisiana
Oklahoma
Florida
Michigan
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Illinois
Oregon
2024
2026
Shift in
margin
Dem
+30pts
Dem
+20pts
Dem
+10pts
Rep
+10pts
Kentucky
Texas
Mississippi
West Virginia
North Carolina
Wyoming
Ohio
Kansas
Georgia
Iowa
Virginia
Alabama
Arkansas
Louisiana
Oklahoma
Florida
Michigan
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Illinois
Oregon
2024
2026
Shift in
margin
Dem
+30pts
Dem
+20pts
Dem
+10pts
Rep
+10pts
Kentucky
Texas
Mississippi
West Virginia
North Carolina
Wyoming
Ohio
Kansas
Georgia
Iowa
Virginia
Alabama
Arkansas
Louisiana
Oklahoma
Florida
Michigan
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Illinois
Oregon