Lives lost to greater heat predicted to outnumber those saved by milder cold
Excess deaths due to climate change per 100,000 people across 854 European cities
Cold
Heat
Net
Low emissions scenario
150
100
Confidence interval
50
0
−50
2020
2040
2060
2080
Medium
150
100
50
0
−50
2020
2040
2060
2080
High
150
100
50
0
−50
2020
2040
2060
2080
Low emissions
scenario
Medium
High
150
100
Heat
Confidence interval
50
Net
0
Cold
−50
2020
2080
2020
2080
2020
2080
Low emissions
scenario
Medium
High
150
100
Heat
Confidence interval
50
Net
0
Cold
−50
2020
2080
2020
2080
2020
2080
Low emissions scenario
Medium
High
150
100
Heat
Confidence interval
50
Net
0
Cold
−50
2020
2040
2060
2080
2020
2040
2060
2080
2020
2040
2060
2080