2016 Clinton v Trump
Clinton polling lead, 8 Nov 3.2pts
Election result
50%
46
42
38
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
2020 Biden v Trump
Biden polling lead, 3 Nov 7.2pts
Election result
52%
48
44
40
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
2024 Biden, Harris v Trump
50%
30 Aug
Harris +1.8
Biden drops out,
Harris becomes nominee
48
46
44
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Trump outperformed his polling levels in both 2016 and 2020
2016 Clinton v Trump
Clinton polling lead, 8 Nov 3.2pts
Election result
50%
46
42
38
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
2020 Biden v Trump
Biden polling lead, 3 Nov 7.2pts
Election result
52%
48
44
40
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
2024 Biden v Trump, Harris v Trump
50%
30 Aug
Harris +1.8
Biden drops out,
Harris becomes nominee
48
46
44
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2016 Clinton v Trump
Clinton polling lead, 8 Nov 3.2pts
Election result
50%
46
42
38
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
2020 Biden v Trump
Biden polling lead, 3 Nov 7.2pts
Election result
52%
48
44
40
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
2024 Biden, Harris v Trump
50%
30 Aug
Harris +1.8
Biden drops out,
Harris becomes nominee
48
46
44
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Trump outperformed his polling levels in both 2016 and 2020
2016 Clinton v Trump
Clinton polling lead, 8 Nov 3.2pts
Election result
50%
46
42
38
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
2020 Biden v Trump
Biden polling lead, 3 Nov 7.2pts
Election result
52%
48
44
40
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
2024 Biden v Trump, Harris v Trump
50%
30 Aug
Harris +1.8
Biden drops out,
Harris becomes nominee
48
46
44
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep