Final 538 estimated lead
Final RCP estimated lead
Result
Biden
lead
Trump
lead
8
0pts
4
2
2
6
North Carolina
538’s average missed by nearly eight points
Arizona
Georgia
Wisconsin
Pennsylvania
Correct
final RCP averages
Nevada
Michigan
Final 538 estimated lead
Final RCP estimated lead
Result
Biden lead
Trump lead
8
0pts
4
2
2
6
North Carolina
Trump win,
which some models didn’t call
Arizona
538’s final average missed by nearly eight points
Georgia
Wisconsin
Pennsylvania
Correct final
RCP averages
Nevada
Michigan
Final 538 estimated lead
Final RCP estimated lead
Result
Biden
lead
Trump
lead
8
0pts
4
2
2
6
North Carolina
538’s average missed by nearly eight points
Arizona
Georgia
Wisconsin
Pennsylvania
Correct
final RCP averages
Nevada
Michigan
Final 538 estimated lead
Final RCP estimated lead
Result
Biden lead
Trump lead
8
0pts
4
2
2
6
North Carolina
Trump win
which some models didn’t call
Arizona
538’s final average missed by nearly eight points
Georgia
Wisconsin
Pennsylvania
Correct final
RCP averages
Nevada
Michigan