2024 US presidential election will be decided by handful of 'toss-up' states

270 to win

Safe

Republican

Safe

Democrat

Likely

Likely

185

40

106

113

Toss-up (93)

Lean (1)

NH

VT

ME

NY

WA

ND

MI

PA

MT

WI

MA

ID

OR

MN

SD

WY

CT

MD

RI

OH

CA

IN

NV

UT

IA

CO

IL

DC

NJ

NE

DE

WV

KY

AZ

VA

MO

NM

TN

NC

OK

KS

GA

AR

SC

LA

MS

AK

HI

FL

AL

TX

Likely

Likely

Toss-up

Safe Republican

Safe Democrat

185

93

40

106

113

Lean (1)

270 to win

VT

NH

ME

WA

MA

ND

MI

NY

MT

WI

PA

OR

ID

MN

RI

SD

CT

WY

MD

NJ

OH

CA

IL

IN

NV

UT

IA

CO

DC

DE

NE

WV

KY

VA

AZ

MO

TN

KS

NM

NC

AR

LA

OK

GA

AL

MS

SC

AK

FL

TX

HI

270 to win

Safe

Republican

Safe

Democrat

Likely

Likely

185

40

106

113

Toss-up (93)

Lean (1)

NH

VT

ME

NY

WA

ND

MI

PA

MT

WI

MA

ID

OR

MN

SD

WY

CT

RI

MD

OH

CA

IN

NV

UT

IA

CO

IL

DC

NJ

NE

DE

WV

KY

AZ

VA

MO

NM

TN

NC

OK

KS

GA

AR

SC

LA

MS

AK

HI

FL

AL

TX

Likely

Likely

Toss-up

Safe Republican

Safe Democrat

185

93

40

106

113

Lean (1)

270 to win

VT

NH

ME

WA

MA

MI

NY

ND

MT

WI

PA

OR

ID

MN

RI

SD

CT

WY

MD

NJ

OH

CA

IL

IN

NV

UT

IA

CO

DC

DE

NE

WV

KY

VA

AZ

MO

TN

KS

NM

NC

AR

LA

OK

GA

AL

MS

SC

AK

FL

TX

HI