Ipsos projection predicts huge majority for Labour

Estimated seat share of political parties in 4 July election

Lab

453

Lib Dem

38

Con

115

326 seats for a majority

Other parties

SNP 15

Plaid Cymru 4

Greens 3

Reform UK 3

Other 19

Labour 453

Lib Dem 38

Conservative 115

326 seats for a majority

Other parties

SNP 15

Plaid Cymru 4

Greens 3

Reform UK 3

Other 19

Guardian graphic. Source: Ipsos MRP model