The Tories could lose more than half of their seats in Essex

Majorities over time in 18 Essex seats, and latest YouGov MRP projections

0%

10

20

30

40

50

60

Conservative

Labour

Lib Dem

Reform

Modelled*

Projection

2010

15

17

19

24

Con holds

North West Essex**

Rayleigh and Wickford

Castle Point

Brentwood and Ongar

Maldon

Witham

Braintree

Epping Forest

Lab gains

Thurrock

Colchester

Southend West and Leigh**

Southend East and Rochford

Harlow

Harlow

Harwich and North Essex

South Basildon and

East Thurrock

2014 by-election

Reform gains

Clacton

Basildon and Billericay

Lib Dem gain

Chelmsford

Note: **old constituency name for North West Essex

(Saffron Walden), Southend West and Leigh

(Southend West)

0%

10

20

30

40

50

60

Conservative

Majorities over time in

18 Essex seats, and latest

YouGov MRP projections

Labour

Lib Dem

Reform

Projection

2024

Modelled*

Constituency (Old name)

2010

2015

2017

2019

North West Essex (Saffron Walden)

Con holds

Rayleigh and Wickford

Castle Point

Brentwood and Ongar

Maldon

Witham

Braintree

Epping Forest

Lab gains

Thurrock

Colchester

Southend West and Leigh (Southend West)

Southend East and Rochford

Harlow

Harwich and North Essex

South Basildon and East Thurrock

2014 by-election

Reform gains

Clacton

Basildon and Billericay

Lib Dem gain

Chelmsford