‘Never Labour’ gain by swing scenario

Projected win for Labour of seats not held by the party as of the 1997 election

0

20

40

60

80

100

12 point swing to Labour

19 seat gain

14 point

24

16 point

43

18 point

62

20 point

97

100 seat gain

97

80

60

62

40

43

20

24

19

0

12 point

14 point

16 point

18 point

20 point

Swing to Labour

Sources: Historical election results: H. Southall, O. Heath, P. Aucott, & C. Prosser (2024). Historical British voting data 1997-2019 redistricted to 2024 constituencies, version 1.1.2019 election results: C Rallings and M Thrasher