Unprotected services in England face spending cuts of up to 3.5% a year over the next parliament

Projected average annual real-terms growth 2024–25 to 2028–29

4%

2.86%

Likely range

2

1.99%

0.97%

0

-2

-1.86%

-4

-3.53%

Overall day-to-day

public service

spending

Protected

areas*

Unprotected

areas

4%

2.86%

Likely range

2

1.99%

0.97%

0

-2

-1.86%

-4

-3.53%

Overall day-to-day public

service spending

Protected areas*

Unprotected areas

Source: IFS calculations based on HM Treasury spring budget 2024 and OBR Economic and Fiscal Outlook March 2024. Note: *protected areas include NHS, defence, schools, aid and childcare