Stark choice at the ballot box: emission projections under future Trump or Biden administrations

Trump’s projection assumes a repeal of IRA, EPA rules and no new fossil fuel subsidies

8bn tons of CO2 equivalent emissions

2005 level

6bn

Projections

Historical

emissions

Trump

–24%

from 2005

4bn

Biden

–50%

2bn

2005

10

15

2020

25

30

8bn tons of CO2 equivalent emissions

2005 level

6bn

Projections

Historical emissions

Trump

–24%

from 2005

4bn

Biden

–50%

2bn

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

8bn tons of CO2 equivalent emissions

2005 level

6bn

Projections

Historical emissions

Trump

–24%

from 2005

4bn

Biden

–50%

2bn

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

8bn tons of CO2 equivalent emissions

2005 level

6bn

Projections

Historical emissions

Trump

–24%

from 2005

4bn

Biden

–50%

2bn

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

8bn tons of CO2 equivalent emissions

2005 level

6bn

Projections

Historical emissions

Trump

–24%

from 2005

4bn

Biden

–50%

2bn

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

Guardian graphic. Source: Energy Innovation. Note: The Trump administration projection uses a business as usual model, while Biden’s takes into account his NDC and IRA policies.