Climate change projected to increase flooding intensity along the River Severn

% increase in flood peaks, based on emissions scenarios

Median estimate

Interquartile range

Intermediate scenario

Worst-case scenario

60%

40

20

0

2020s

2050s

2080s

2020s

2050s

2080s

Median estimate

Interquartile range

Intermediate scenario

Worst case-scenario

60%

40

20

0

2020s

2050s

2080s

2020s

2050s

2080s

Guardian graphic. Source: UK centre for Ecology and Hydrology. Note: flood peaks measured in river flows. Emissions scenarios based on RCP trajectories of 4.5 and 8.5, as defined by the IPCC. Study area on banks of River Severn, near Tewkesbury

Guardian graphic. Source: UK centre for Ecology and Hydrology. Note: flood peaks measured in river flows. Emissions scenarios based on RCP trajectories of 4.5 and 8.5, as defined by the IPCC. Study area on banks of River Severn, near Tewkesbury