Countries are planning double the fossil fuel production in 2030 than is consistent with 1.5C warming

Billions of tonnes of CO2 equivalent per year

50

Production gap

40

Government plans

and projections

Implied by

government

policies

30

Implied by

government

pledges

20

2C-consistent

10

1.5C-consistent

0

2020

2030

2040

2050

50

40

Government plans

and projections

Implied by

government policies

30

Production gap

20

Implied by

government pledges

2C-consistent

10

1.5C-consistent

0

2020

2030

2040

2050

Guardian graphic. Source: The Production Gap: SEI, Climate Analytics, E3G, IISD and UNEP 2023