Modelling indicates that an oil spill could span the Red Sea

Modelled surface oil concentration for a three-week oil leak, by season

Average surface oil concentration

Lowest 20%

Highest 20%

Winter

Saudi Arabia

Red

Sea

Jeddah

Confidence

interval

Jazan

Sudan

Eritrea

Yemen

Aden

Gulf of Aden

Djibouti

Ethiopia

Somalia

Summer

Red

Sea

Saudi Arabia

Jeddah

Jazan

Sudan

Eritrea

Yemen

Aden

Gulf of Aden

Djibouti

Somalia

Ethiopia

300 km

300 miles

Average surface oil concentration

Lowest 20%

Highest 20%

Winter

Summer

Saudi Arabia

Red

Sea

Red

Sea

Jeddah

Jeddah

Saudi Arabia

Confidence

interval

Jazan

Jazan

Sudan

Sudan

Eritrea

Eritrea

Yemen

Yemen

Aden

Aden

Gulf of Aden

Gulf of Aden

Djibouti

Djibouti

Ethiopia

Somalia

Ethiopia

Somalia

300 km

300 miles

Guardian graphic. Source: Nature Sustainability. Public health impacts of an imminent Red Sea oil spill, Benjamin Q Huynh et al. Note: the surface oil concentrations plotted on the map is an average of 1,000 simulated spills