Global temperatures are likely to exceed 1.5C above pre-industrial levels for at least one of the next five years

Global mean near-surface temperature anomalies from 1850-1900 average, °C

Projection

2.0

95th

percentile

1.5

5th

percentile

1.0

0.5

0

-0.5

1920

1940

1960

1980

2000

2020

Projection

2.0

95th

percentile

1.5

5th

percentile

1.0

0.5

0

-0.5

1920

1940

1960

1980

2000

2020