The risk of climate tipping points is rising rapidly as the world heats up

Estimated range of global heating needed to pass tipping point temperature

Range:

Min

Max

Central estimate

0.0C

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

Greenland ice sheet collapse

West Antarctic ice sheet collapse

Tropical coral reef die-off

Northern permafrost abrupt thaw

Barents Sea ice loss

Labrador Sea current collapse

Mountain glaciers loss

West African monsoon shift

East Antarctic glacier collapse

Amazon rainforest dieback

Northern permafrost collapse

Atlantic current collapse

Northern forests dieback - south

Northern forests expansion - north

Arctic winter sea ice collapse

East Antarctic ice sheet collapse

1.5-2.0C Paris agreement targets

1.1C Current level of warming

Range:

Min

Max

Central estimate

0.0C

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

Greenland ice sheet collapse

West Antarctic ice sheet collapse

Tropical coral reef die-off

Northern permafrost abrupt thaw

Barents Sea ice loss

Labrador Sea current collapse

Mountain glaciers loss

West African monsoon shift

East Antarctic glacier collapse

Amazon rainforest dieback

Northern permafrost collapse

Atlantic current collapse

Northern forests dieback - south

Northern forests expansion - north

Arctic winter sea ice collapse

East Antarctic ice sheet collapse

1.1C Current level of warming

1.5-2.0C Paris agreement targets