A focused attack in east Ukraine is seen as the most likely form of Russian action

200 km

Belarus

200 miles

Russia

Kyiv

Separatist-

controlled area

Ukraine

Donetsk

Luhansk

Moldova

Line of contact

Sea of

Azov

Black Sea

Crimea

Transnistria

A breakaway region of Moldova and home to Russian forces

Mariupol

Port city 15 miles from frontline is possible target. Tanks and soldiers could land from Sea of Azov and encircle Mariupol

Belarus

Ukraine

Russia

Kyiv

Dnieper

River

Kharkiv

Transnistria

A breakaway region of Moldova and home to Russian forces

Luhansk

region

Line of contact

Donetsk

region

Luhansk

Mariupol

Port city 15 miles from frontline is possible target. Tanks and soldiers could land from Sea of Azov and encircle Mariupol

Donetsk

Rostov

Moldova

Separatist-

controlled area

Odessa

Sea of Azov

Black Sea

Crimea

Romania

100 km

100 miles