Where we were Pre-industrial average
Where we are now in 2021
Paris agreement goal at Cop21
+0C
+1.2
+1.5
+2
+3
Scenarios
1. Optimistic,
best case
+1.8
Full implementation of all announced targets including net zero targets, binding long-term targets and nationally determined contributions
2. Pledges
and targets
+2.1
Full implementation of submitted and binding long-term targets and 2030 NDC targets
3. 2030
targets only
+2.4
Full implementation of 2030 NDC targets
4. Policies
and action
+2.7
Real world action based on current policies
Where we were
Pre-industrial
average
Where we
are now
in 2021
Paris agreement goal
December 2015
at Cop21
+0C
+1.2
+1.5
+2
+3
+4
Scenarios
Full implementation of all announced targets including net zero targets, binding long-term targets and nationally determined contributions
+1.8
1. Optimistic, best case
Full implementation of submitted and binding long-term targets and 2030 NDC targets
+2.1
2. Pledges and targets
Full implementation of 2030 NDC targets
+2.4
3. 2030 targets only
Real world action based on current policies
+2.7
4. Policies and action