Modelling by the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine suggests that a third wave could peak at the end of July or August

Population mobility

High (pre-pandemic levels)

Medium

Low

Steps out of lockdown

1,500 daily deaths

1

2

3

4

1,000

500

0

Jan 2020

July

Jan 2021

July

Population mobility

High (pre-pandemic levels)

Medium

Low

Steps out of lockdown

1,500 daily deaths

1

2

3

4

1,000

500

0

Jan 2020

July

Jan 2021

July