Imperial and Warwick modelling suggests that daily infections could peak in August but with deaths lower than in earlier waves

200,000 daily infections

Step 3

4

150,000

100,000

50,000

0

Feb 2021

Apr

Jun

Aug

Oct

Dec

Image source: Imperial

1,250 daily deaths

Step 3

4

Spring 2020 peak

1,000

750

500

250

0

Feb 2021

Apr

Jun

Aug

Oct

Dec

Image source: Warwick

200,000 daily infections

1,250 daily deaths

Step 3

4

Step 3

4

Spring 2020 peak

1,000

150,000

750

100,000

500

50,000

250

0

0

Feb 2021

Apr

Jun

Aug

Oct

Dec

Feb 2021

Apr

Jun

Aug

Oct

Dec

Image source: Imperial

Image source: Warwick