The Covid-19 pandemic could cause civil unrest in up to 37 countries by early 2021

Area of circles represents number of confirmed

Covid-19 cases for countries in:

Africa

Americas

Europe and Central Asia

Asia Pacific

Middle East and North Africa

37 countries most at risk

Higher risk

Capacity for

recovery score

Q3 2020

DR Congo

Nigeria

Lower risk

Ethiopia

Peru

Venezuela

Egypt

Pakistan

Indonesia

Bangladesh

Iran

Russia

Turkey

India

Chile

South Africa

Brazil

US

Japan

Singapore

UK

Forecast civil unrest score Q1 2021

Lower risk

Higher risk

Area of circles represents number of confirmed Covid-19 cases for countries in:

Africa

Americas

Europe and Central Asia

Asia Pacific

Middle East and North Africa

37 countries most at risk

Higher risk

Capacity for

recovery score

Q3 2020

DR Congo

Nigeria

Ethiopia

Russia

Lower risk

Venezuela

Algeria

Egypt

Peru

Pakistan

Indonesia

Bangladesh

Iran

Turkey

India

Brazil

Chile

South Africa

US

Japan

Singapore

UK

Forecast civil unrest score Q1 2021

Lower risk

Higher risk