New cases fall away to low levels with monitoring and contact tracing systems robust enough to control occasional outbreaks. But virus is still out there and may occasionally flare up
Cases rise
rapidly in
the initial
outbreak
2020
2021
Guardian graphic. Note: curves shown in these scenarios are for illustrative purposes only. What actually occurs could be a variation on any one of them
New cases fall away to low levels with monitoring and contact tracing systems robust enough to control occasional outbreaks. But virus is still out there and may occasionally flare up
Cases rise
rapidly in
the initial
outbreak
2020
2021
Guardian graphic. Note: curves shown in these scenarios are for illustrative purposes only. What actually occurs could be a variation on any one of them