Global average temperature change

Celsius change, compared with pre-industrial conditions

High emissions

Medium-high

Low

Medium-low

Projections

6°C

Only chance to keep heating in relatively safe band of 1.5 to 2C is with low emissions

5

4

Observed temperature change 1950-2019

3

2

1

Uncertainty

range

0

2050

1990

1950

2020

2098

Projections

6°C

5

High emissions

4

Uncertainty range

for all scenarios

Medium-high

3

Medium-low

Observed temperature change 1950-2019

Only chance to keep heating in relatively safe band of 1.5 t0 2C is with low emissions

2

1

0

1950

1990

2020

2050

2098