Change in September Arctic sea ice extent

Million sq km, relative to the 1981-2010 average

High emissions

Medium-high

Low

Medium-low

Projections

Even the low-emission scenario leaves only a faint hope for Arctic sea ice

1

0

-1

-2

Uncertainty

range

-3

-4

Observed

change in sea

ice extent

1990-2018*

-5

-6

-7

-8

1990

2019

2050

Projections

1

0

Uncertainty range

for all emissions

scenarios

-1

-2

-3

Even the low-emission scenario leaves only a faint hope for Arctic sea ice

-4

Observed change in sea ice extent 1990-2018*

-5

-6

Low emissions

-7

Medium-high

Medium-low

-8

High

1990

2019

2050