Annual emissions
90 gigatonnes of equivalent carbon dioxide
Median value
(solid lines)
Range of possible pathways
(shaded areas)
80
Business
as usual
70
Paris commitments
worst and best case
64
55 gigatonnes
60
60
56
54
50
Current policy
projections
40
38
Global temperature increase
limited to below 2C by 2100
30
Global temperature increase
limited to below 1.5C by 2100
26
20
2010
2014
2018
2022
2026
2030
90 gigatonnes of equivalent carbon dioxide, annual emissions
80
Median value
(solid lines)
Current policy
projections
Range of possible pathways
(shaded areas)
70
55 gigatonnes
Business as usual
64
60
60
56
54
50
Paris commitments
worst and best case
40
38
30
Global temperature
increase limited to
below 2C by 2100
Global temperature
increase limited to
below 1.5C by 2100
26
20
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030