If Labour was out of contention in Esher and Walton, the Liberal Democrats’ Monica Harding would be neck and neck with Dominic Raab

Conservative

Labour

Lib Dem

How would you vote if you felt that the only two candidates with a realistic chance of winning here in (constituency) were …

... the Conservatives or Labour?

Effect of

tactical voting

Vote share

Esher and Walton

62%

+16%

29

+20

8

-33

1

-3

0

20

40

60

Portsmouth South

52

+6

44

+6

3

-8

1

-3

0

20

40

60

Berwick-on-Tweed

+4

64

+12

32

4

-16

0

2

0

20

40

60

... the Conservatives or the Liberal Democrats?

Vote share

Effect of

tactical voting

Esher and Walton

48%

+7%

48

+2

3

-6

2

-2

0

20

40

60

Portsmouth South

44

+33

43

+5

10

-36

3

-1

0

20

40

60

Berwick-on-Tweed

58

-2

39

+19

2

-15

1

-1

0

20

40

60

Conservative

Labour

Lib Dem

How would you vote if you felt that the only two candidates with a realistic chance of winning here in (constituency) were …

... the Conservatives or Labour?

... the Conservatives or the Liberal Democrats?

Vote share

Vote share

Effect of

tactical voting

Effect of

tactical voting

Esher and Walton

Esher and Walton

48%

+7%

62%

+16%

48

29

+2

+20

3

-6

8

-33

2

1

-2

-3

0

20

40

60

0

20

40

60

Portsmouth South

Portsmouth South

44

+33

52

+6

43

44

+5

+6

10

3

-36

-8

3

1

-1

-3

0

20

40

60

0

20

40

60

Berwick-on-Tweed

Berwick-on-Tweed

58

+4

64

-2

39

+19

+12

32

4

2

-16

-15

1

-1

0

2

0

20

40

60

0

20

40

60