Saturday 19 October
Has the PM brought a deal back from the European council meeting?
No
Yes
MPs vote on the deal
Vote no
Vote yes
Johnson has three options
UK leaves the EU on 31 October on these terms
Request an extension
Resign.
Caretaker PM asks for extension
Refuse to request extension
EU offers extension to 31 January
EU offers
a longer extension
General election likely
Talks could resume on a deal
Commons could push for a second referendum
Opposition, or Johnson himself, calls confidence vote
Confidence
No confidence
Attempts to leave with no deal on 31 October but legal challenges likely
Opposition attempts
to form a government. Caretaker PM could request an extension
Saturday 19 October
Has the PM brought a deal back from the European council meeting?
No
Yes
MPs vote on the deal
Vote no
Vote yes
UK leaves the EU on 31 October on these terms
Johnson has three options
Request an extension
Resign.
Caretaker PM asks for extension
Refuse to request extension
Opposition, or Johnson himself, calls confidence vote
No confidence
Confidence
EU offers extension to 31 January
EU offers
a longer extension
Attempts to leave with no deal on 31 October but legal challenges likely
Opposition attempts
to form a government. Caretaker PM could request an extension
General election likely
Commons could push for a second referendum
Talks could resume on a deal