In 2016, according to the Focaldata model, the 632 parliamentary seats in England, Scotland and Wales
were split…
229
403
Remain
Leave
50%
.… but analysis shows that in 112 seats a majority
of people have shifted to being pro-Remain
341 (+112)
3
288
Remain
split
Leave
50%
The constituencies with the biggest shift among the 112 seats that have switched from a Leave to Remain majority are...
14.3
Liverpool Walton
percentage points
13.4
Knowsley
12.8
Swansea East
12.8
Hayes & Harlington
12.6
Oldham West & Royton
12.4
Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough
12.4
Hull North
12.4
Birmingham Yardley
12.3
Rhondda
12
Warley
This suggests there is now a Remain majority as Labour supporters who voted Leave change stance, particularly in the north and Wales
Swing to Remain
to Leave
>15
>10
>5
>0
<5
Point change between 2016 and 2018
Hayes & Harlington
Sheffield
Brightside and
Hillsborough
Knowsley
Hull
North
Liverpool
Walton
Oldham West
& Royton
Swansea
East
Rhondda
Warley
Birmingham Yardley
Source: Constituency modelling conducted by Focaldata, based on YouGov polling of 15,340 people in Jun and Jul. Funded by Best for Britain/Hope not Hate
In 2016, according to the Focaldata model, the 632 parliamentary seats in England, Scotland and Wales
were split…
This suggests there is now a Remain majority as Labour supporters who voted Leave change stance, particularly in the north and Wales
229
403
to Leave
Swing to Remain
Remain
Leave
50%
>15
>10
>5
>0
<5
.… but analysis shows that in 112 seats a majority
of people have shifted to being pro-Remain
Point change between 2016 and 2018
341 (+112)
3
288
Remain
split
Leave
50%
The constituencies with the biggest shift among the 112 seats that have switched from a Leave to Remain majority are...
Hayes & Harlington
14.3
Liverpool Walton
percentage points
13.4
Knowsley
12.8
Swansea East
Sheffield
Brightside and
Hillsborough
12.8
Hayes & Harlington
Knowsley
Hull
North
12.6
Liverpool
Walton
Oldham West & Royton
12.4
Oldham West
& Royton
Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough
12.4
Hull North
Swansea
East
12.4
Rhondda
Birmingham Yardley
Warley
12.3
Birmingham Yardley
Rhondda
Source: Constituency modelling conducted by Focaldata, based on YouGov polling of 15,340 people in June and July. Funded by Best for Britain/Hope not Hate
12
Warley