The Muslim population in some European countries could triple by 2050 while barely changing in others

Projected % of Muslims among total population in each country

Migration scenarios

Zero growth

High growth

Sweden could grow between 11.1% and 30.6%. Nevertheless Poland could grow between

0.1 and 0.2% in 2050

UK scenarios

Zero 9.2

High 17.2

France

12.7

18.0

Malta

9.3

16.2

Migration

scenarios

Norway

7.2

17

Sweden’s Muslim population could grow between 11.1% and 30.6% in 2050

Zero growth

UK scenarios

Zero 9.2

High 17.2

High growth

Muslims made up 4.9% of Europe’s population in 2016, with an estimated 25.8m across 30 countries

Nevertheless in eastern countries such as Poland the growth could be between 0.1 and 0.2%

Belgium

11.1

18.2

Austria

9.3

19.9

France

12.7

18.0

Malta

9.3

16.2