High income
Upper middle-income
50 live births per 1,000 people
40
Birth rate
30
More deaths
than births
by 2050
More deaths
than births
by 2040
20
10
0
10
20
Natural growth rate
The difference between the
birth rate and death rate
30
Death rate
40
50 deaths per 1,000 people
2050
2100
2050
2016
2016
1960
1960
Lower-middle-income
Low-income
50 live births per 1,000 people
40
30
20
10
0
10
20
30
40
50 deaths per 1,000 people
2050
2100
2050
2016
2016
1960
1960
Neither low-income countries or lower-middle-income countries will have a negative growth rate by 2100, meaning their populations will continue growing into the 22nd century
High-income
Upper middle-income
50 live births per 1,000 people
40
Birth rate
30
More deaths
than births
by 2050
More deaths
than births
by 2040
20
10
0
10
20
Natural growth rate
The difference between the
birth rate and death rate
30
Death rate
40
50 deaths per 1,000 people
2050
2100
2050
2100
2016
2016
1960
1960
Lower-middle-income
Low-income
50 live births per 1,000 people
40
30
20
10
0
10
20
30
40
50 deaths per 1,000 people
2050
2100
2050
2100
2016
2016
1960
1960
Neither low-income countries or lower-middle-income
countries will have a negative growth rate by 2100,
meaning their populations will continue growing into the
22nd century
High-income
Upper middle-income
Lower middle-income
Low-income
50 live births per 1,000 people
40
Birth rate
30
More deaths
than births
by 2050
More deaths
than births
by 2040
20
10
0
10
20
30
Neither low-income countries or
lower-middle-income countries will
have a negative growth rate by 2100
Natural growth rate
The difference between the birth rate and
death rate. Once the natural growth rate
becomes negative the population starts
to decline, assuming no net migration
Death rate
40
50 deaths per 1,000 people
2050
2100
2050
2100
2050
2100
2050
2100
2016
2016
2016
2016
1960
1960
1960
1960
High-income
Upper middle-income
Lower middle-income
Low-income
50 live births per 1,000 people
40
Birth rate
30
More deaths
than births
by 2050
More deaths
than births
by 2040
20
10
0
10
20
30
Neither low-income countries or
lower-middle-income countries will
have a negative growth rate by 2100
Natural growth rate
The difference between the birth rate and
death rate. Once the natural growth rate
becomes negative the population starts
to decline, assuming no net migration
Death rate
40
50 deaths per 1,000 people
2050
2100
2050
2100
2050
2100
2050
2100
2016
2016
2016
2016
1960
1960
1960
1960
Notes: Data is based on five-year periods, with the figure taken from the final year of each period