Historical and forecast U.S. fossil fuel production

Federal production (not yet leased)

90

Federal production (under lease

but not producing as of 2015)

80

70

Fossil fuel production, QBtu

60

Federal production

(already produced or

producing as of 2015)

50

Range of

2ºC scenarios

40

30

20

Non-federal production

10

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Federal production (not yet leased)

90

Federal production (under lease

but not producing as of 2015)

80

70

Fossil fuel production, QBtu

60

Federal production

(already produced or

producing as of 2015)

50

Range of

2ºC scenarios

40

30

20

Non-federal production

10

1990

2000

2010

2020

2030

2040

Federal production (not yet leased)

90

Federal production (under lease

but not producing as of 2015)

80

70

Fossil fuel production, QBtu

60

Federal production

(already produced or

producing as of 2015)

50

Range of

2ºC scenarios

40

30

20

Non-federal production

10

1990

2000

2010

2020

2030

2040

Source: Stockholm Environment Institute analysis based on ONRR (2015), U.S. EIA (2015a; 2015b), assuming implementation of the Clean Power Plan; McGlade and Ekins (2015); International Energy Agency (2015).
Graphic: Jan Diehm/The Guardian