Government models of GDP impact under different scenarios

Standfirst ...

Zero EU/EEA net migration

No change to migration

0%

1

3

5

7

9

No deal

Canada-style free trade agreement

Norway-style EEA-type

Alternative Chequers scenario

Chequers

Guardian Graphic | Source: UK government. Note: Figures quoted are central estimate of a range of outcomes. Alternative Chequers scenario based on Chequers with 50% higher non-tariff barriers